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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. AI
  3. Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

1.0% (24h)AIOne-Off6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
↑$900B
↑$900B 89%-0.5%
Leader of 15 outcomes
Market quality

73 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$8.2K

Liquidity

$359K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

8.0% / 9.0%

Spread

12.5%

Wide spread
7d Change

-1.0%

Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

May 19, 26, 5:15 AMJan 1, 27, 12:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

↑$900B89%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
  • If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027.
  • If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
  • If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.

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Active in these topics

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Related News

Anthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsEU orders Meta to restore WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbotsCrypto NewsJPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto NewsOpenAI Files for IPO, Targets Valuation Up to $850BBlockchain.NewsOpenAI confidentially files to go public in the USCointelegraphNvidia expands South Korean AI partnerships across chips, cloud, and robotics Crypto News

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
  • If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027.
  • If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
  • If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.