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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Regulation
  3. SpaceX highest valuation by end of December 2026
Manifold Markets

SpaceX highest valuation by end of December 2026

RegulationAITech6mo
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
≥$1T 100%
Leader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters

18

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Stale
Apr 22, 26, 3:49 AMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

≥$1.5T98%

Rules

Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for SpaceX credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-12-31.

Manifold Markets
  • Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
  • Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
  • Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2026-12-31 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
  • ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
  • Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).

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Rules

Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for SpaceX credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-12-31.

Manifold Markets
  • Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
  • Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
  • Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2026-12-31 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
  • ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
  • Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).