Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastGlobalFoundries 100%Leader of 12 outcomes
Forecasters
11
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleOct 13, 25, 12:01 PM UTCJan 20, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" for any company in which the United States Federal Government, under the Trump administration, acquires a direct equity stake.
- A "direct equity stake" is defined as the US Federal Government owning shares of the company's stock, resulting from an investment, bailout, or other financial transaction that confers ownership.
- The stake must be publicly disclosed through official government channels (e.g., Treasury Department announcements, SEC filings) or widely reported by reputable financial news organizations (e.g., The Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, Reuters).
- The market will resolve "No" for any company that does not meet this criterion by January 20th, 2029.
- ("Trump administration" colloquially refers to the 47th administration.)