KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
$40 trillion · —
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Stored price
$47.5 trillion 62.5%Market line of 6 lines
$47.5 trillion 62.5%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$37K
High open interestBid / Ask
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$40 trillionSpread
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Market data
Updated 27 minutes ago
Nov 12, 24, 3:00 PM UTCMar 31, 29, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · $40 trillion
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the federal budget AND deficit AND national debt be higher when Trump ceases being president?
Manifold MarketsWill the US national debt surpass 42 trillion during Trump's presidency?
Manifold MarketsPeak US National Debt before 2027?
PolymarketWill total national debt increase more during Trump's presidency than Biden's? (in trillions of $)
Manifold MarketsWill the US national debt be above $40 trillion by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the US National Debt exceed $40 Trillion by the end of FY 2027?
ForecastExRules
If the U.S. federal debt (GFDEBTN) increases to 47.5 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028 (inclusive), then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:FRED
Rules for each outcome
- $40 trillion
- If the U.S. federal debt increases to 40 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- $42.5 trillion
- If the U.S. federal debt (GFDEBTN) increases to 42.5 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028 (inclusive), then the market resolves to Yes.
- $45 trillion
- If the U.S. federal debt increases to 45 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- $47.5 trillion
- If the U.S. federal debt (GFDEBTN) increases to 47.5 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028 (inclusive), then the market resolves to Yes.
- $50 trillion
- If the U.S. federal debt increases to 50 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- $52.5 trillion
- If the U.S. federal debt (GFDEBTN) increases to 52.5 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028 (inclusive), then the market resolves to Yes.