PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 9:52 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
$41 trillion · —
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Stored reference
$41 trillion 83%Leader of 4 outcomes
$41 trillion 83%Market quality
37 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
$2.1K
Low liquidityOpen interest
$6.7K
Bid / Ask
— / —
$41 trillionSpread
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Comments
0
7d Change
-0.1 pts
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleNov 5, 25, 7:41 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
$39 trillionWon
$40 trillionWon
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · $41 trillion
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration
KalshiWill the US national debt be above $40 trillion by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the US National Debt exceed $40 Trillion by the end of FY 2027?
ForecastExWill the US National Debt exceed $45 Trillion by the end of FY 2027?
ForecastExWill the US National Debt exceed $47 Trillion by the end of FY 2030?
ForecastExWill the US National Debt exceed $41 Trillion by the end of FY 2027?
ForecastExRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current).
- If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.