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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Bonds & Treasuries
  3. Peak US National Debt before 2027?
Peak US National Debt before 2027?

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

0.1% (24h)Bonds & TreasuriesOne-Off6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
$39 trillion
$39 trillion 100%-0.1%
Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality

49 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$13.9K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

99.9% / 100.0%

Spread

0.1%

Tight spread
7d Change

-0.1%

Market data

Updated 2 minutes ago

Nov 5, 25, 7:50 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
$39 trillion
$39 trillion
100%

Selected outcome

$40 trillion94%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • The resolution source for this market will be the U.S.
  • Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current).
  • If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Related Markets

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$42.8
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10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?

$13.2
5.1% or above: 7%KalshiKALSHI
30Y US Treasury Yield at month-end?

30Y US Treasury Yield at month-end?

$4.2
Above 4.95%: 69%KalshiKALSHI
Treasury 10-year yield on Jun 12, 2026?

Treasury 10-year yield on Jun 12, 2026?

$1.9
4.53% to 4.55%: 14%KalshiKALSHI
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

$1
Yes: 4%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

$0
4.0%: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,655.03+2.33%EthereumETH$1,650.38+1.55%SolanaSOL$65.14+1.56%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.70%XRPXRP$1.12+0.21%BNBBNB$595.20+1.63%

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • The resolution source for this market will be the U.S.
  • Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current).
  • If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.