Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 91%
Forecasters
15
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 23 hours ago
StaleMay 17, 25, 2:55 AM UTCJan 2, 27, 1:00 AM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
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Manifold MarketsRules
Standard & Poor's downgraded the U.S. credit rating from 'AAA' to 'AA+' in 2011.
- (en.wikipedia.org) This market resolves to 'Yes' if S&P announces a downgrade of the U.S. credit rating to 'AA' or lower before January 1, 2027.
- Resolution will be based on official statements from S&P.