PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
0.2% · —
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Stored reference
0.2% 34.3%Leader of 7 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
0.2% 34.3%Market quality
54 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$182.4
Liquidity
$6.7K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$313.8
Bid / Ask
— / —
0.2%Spread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Oct 14, 26, 6:42 PM UTCNov 11, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · 0.2%
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Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Argentina inflation rate MoM for October
KalshiPPI MoM in October
KalshiCore inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
KalshiCore CPI YoY - October 2026
PolymarketWill the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 3% in December 2026?
ForecastExWill November 2026 core CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsRules
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in October 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in October 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
- The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for October 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on November 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — October 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core · Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: Exactly 0.3% 15%