Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 52%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleJun 26, 26, 1:28 AM UTCDec 10, 26, 1:29 PM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will October 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsWill December 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsWill November 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsCore CPI in October
KalshiCore CPI MoM - October 2026
PolymarketCore CPI YoY - October 2026
PolymarketRules
This market resolves YES if the initial BLS Consumer Price Index release for November 2026 reports that the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) all items less food and energy, seasonally adjusted, rose at least 0.3% from October 2026 to November 2026.
- Resolve NO if the initial BLS release reports a seasonally adjusted all items less food and energy CPI-U month-over-month change of 0.2% or lower, including 0.0% or a decline.
- Use the official BLS CPI news release or its tables for November 2026 as the primary source, specifically the seasonally adjusted Table A row for all items less food and energy.
- Do not use headline/all-items CPI, year-over-year CPI, PCE, PPI, non-seasonally-adjusted monthly change, real earnings, or later annual revisions.
- If BLS corrects the initial November 2026 CPI release before this market is resolved, use the corrected BLS release.
- Scheduled source context: BLS calendar lists Consumer Price Index, November 2026, at 08:30 AM Eastern on December 10, 2026; the calendar note says all times are Eastern Time.