Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 8, 2026, 8:20 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastYes 12.8%
Forecasters
20
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 days ago
StaleMar 7, 26, 10:50 PMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes13%
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Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.