Will Australia deploy troops to Venezuela in support of US forces before 2028?
GeopoliticsOne-OffLatin America1y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 11:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 95.2%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleJan 3, 26, 1:21 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Australia officially deploys military personnel to Venezuela before January 1, 2028.
- Deployment includes any of the following: troops on the ground, military advisors, special forces, or armed personnel operating under Australian military command.
- The deployment must be confirmed through official Australian government statements, Department of Defence announcements, or credible international news sources reporting on the deployment.
- This market resolves NO if no such deployment occurs by the deadline.
- This market resolves YES if Australia officially deploys military personnel to Venezuela before January 1, 2028 as a US ally.