Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Before 2050 51.6%Leader of 6 outcomes
Before 2050 51.6%Forecasters
10
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleFeb 24, 24, 6:42 AM UTCJan 1, 50, 1:29 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
The closest thing atm is operation Kudu, where Australians are assisting the UK with Ukraine training programs.
- Soldiers need to be actively fighting
- The mission must involve actively fighting a nation's troops and not an anti-terrorism operation
- "the named outcome" = Any date before January 1st, 2030, as long as it is still December 31st in any Australian time zone.
- All correct answers will resolve YES, additional answers can be added for increased granularity or to extend the market over time.
- List of active operations
