PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 7:51 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
December 31 · —
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Stored reference
December 31 17%
December 31 17%Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$606.7
Liquidity
$21.3K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$1.9K
Bid / Ask
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December 31Spread
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Comments
0
7d Change
-6.0 pts
Market data
Updated 57 minutes ago
LaggingOct 8, 26, 9:10 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · December 31
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Turkish troops enter Yemen by which date?
PolymarketSaudi troops enter Taiz by which date?
PolymarketSaudi troops enter Marib Governorate by which date?
PolymarketSaudi troops enter Sanaa by which date?
PolymarketWill the US military strike Houthi targets in Yemen before November 12, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. deploy 1000 ground troops in Iran in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Syrian troops enter any part of Yemen by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- "Syrian troops" refers to active military personnel officially affiliated with Syria.
- Only members of the regular armed forces of Syria will qualify.
- Foreign fighters, private military contractors, mercenaries, or any other personnel recruited, paid, trained, equipped or directed by Syria who are not members of the Syrian armed forces will not qualify, regardless of whether they operate under Syrian command or on Syria’s behalf.
- Members of the armed forces of any other state, including those operating as part of a Syrian-led coalition, will not qualify.