PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
October 31 55%Leader of 3 outcomes
October 31 55%Market quality
37 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$5.2K
Liquidity
$921.3
Low liquiditySpread
53.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Sep 9, 26, 9:23 PM UTCOct 31, 26, 8:59 PM UTC
Trends
September 15Lost
Before close: 1% ·
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets an Arab country through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- Qualifying Arab countries are as follows: Algeria, Bahrain, Comoros, Djibouti, Egypt, Iraq, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Libya, Mauritania, Morocco, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Somalia, Sudan, Syria, Tunisia, the United Arab Emirates, and Yemen.
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at a qualifying Arab country.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.