PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
October 31 No observed price
October 31 No observed priceMarket quality
57 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$596.2
Liquidity
$13.7K
Medium liquiditySpread
3.6 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
7d Change
-17.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Sep 8, 26, 6:53 PM UTCSep 30, 26, 8:59 PM UTC
Trends
September 15Lost
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Iran target an Arab country by which date?
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PolymarketWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Kuwait through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at Kuwait.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.