KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 10 96%Leader of 11 outcomes
Above 10 96%Market quality
70 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$18.7K
Liquidity
$14.8K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Sep 25, 26, 4:30 PM UTCOct 6, 26, 1:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)
KalshiPeak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)
KalshiPeak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4)
KalshiOn September 27th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
Manifold MarketsFree flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?
PolymarketRules
If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:IMF PortWatch
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026.
- The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.