KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 10 96%-1.0ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
≤74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$66.3K
Liquidity
$58.7K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Sep 18, 26, 4:30 PM UTCSep 29, 26, 1:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)
KalshiOn September 27th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
Manifold MarketsTraffic through the Suez Canal? (9/21 - 9/27)
KalshiTraffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/21 - 9/27)
KalshiTraffic through the Panama Canal? (9/21 - 9/27)
KalshiStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
PolymarketRules
If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:IMF PortWatch
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026.
- The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)?
- Kalshi prices Above 10 at 96% as of September 23, 2026.
- When does Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) resolve?
- Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) is scheduled to resolve on September 29, 2026.
- How is Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.