KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 175 74.4%Leader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$12.5K
Liquidity
$10.2K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Sep 18, 26, 4:00 PM UTCSep 29, 26, 1:00 PM UTC
Trends
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (9/14 - 9/20)
KalshiTraffic through the Suez Canal? (9/14 - 9/20)
KalshiTraffic through the Suez Canal? (9/21 - 9/27)
KalshiWill Trump take back the Panama Canal?
Manifold MarketsUS takes Panama Canal before 2027?
PolymarketWill Trump deploy the US military to the Panama Canal?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the number of transit calls through the Panama Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:IMF PortWatch
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026.
- The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Open markets
Trade PolicyKALSHIHow much will the US acquire Greenland for?
- $0 / No Acquisition+6.0pt87.4%
- $300 billion to $599 billion3.9%
- $10 billion to $99 billion-3.5pt1.9%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.7M
- 24h Vol
- $8.4K
KALSHIRhode Island average residential electricity price in 2026
- Above 28.0¢/kWh96%
- Above 28.5¢/kWh-4.0pt85%
- Above 29.0¢/kWh-1.0pt77%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $44K
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31-1.0pt27%
- October 31-0.5pt14%
- September 30-1.1pt4%
+3 more outcomes
KALSHISouth Carolina ports total container volume in 2026
- Above 2.2 million TEUs94%
- Above 2.3 million TEUs86%
- Above 2.4 million TEUs57%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $24.1K
- 24h Vol
- $4.1K
POLYMARKETUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?
- Yes+1.6pt91%
- No-1.6pt9%
- Total Vol
- $256.2K
- 24h Vol
- $3.8K
POLYMARKETUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt47%
- October 3128%
- September 30-0.5pt10%
+1 more outcomes
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/14 - 9/20)
- What will Nike say during their next earnings call?
- Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
- Traffic through the Panama Canal? (9/14 - 9/20)
- Canada becomes EU Associate Member by which date?
- Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. electric trucks at the end of 2026
- Trump meets with Mark Carney by which date?
- Traffic through the Suez Canal? (9/14 - 9/20)
- Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?
- Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by which date?
- US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Traffic through the Panama Canal? (9/21 - 9/27)?
- Kalshi prices Above 175 at 74% as of September 19, 2026.
- When does Traffic through the Panama Canal? (9/21 - 9/27) resolve?
- Traffic through the Panama Canal? (9/21 - 9/27) is scheduled to resolve on September 29, 2026.
- How is Traffic through the Panama Canal? (9/21 - 9/27) settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the number of transit calls through the Panama Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.