KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 260 86%+1.0ptLeader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
60 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$478.5
Liquidity
$4.5K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 11, 26, 4:30 PM UTCSep 22, 26, 1:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (9/7 - 9/13)
KalshiTraffic through the Panama Canal? (9/14 - 9/20)
KalshiTraffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)
KalshiCanada imposes Welland Canal toll on US ships by September 30?
PolymarketWhen will PATH stop diverting weekend JSQ/33rd St traffic through Hoboken?
Manifold MarketsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May 31st 2027? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsRules
If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:IMF PortWatch
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026.
- The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Open markets
Trade PolicyPOLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 3132%
- October 31-1.0pt22%
- September 30-1.0pt7%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.9M
- 24h Vol
- $34.7K
KALSHIWill Trump issue dividend payments in 2026?
- No96%
- Yes-5.6pt4%
- Total Vol
- $42.3K
- 24h Vol
- $11.2K
KALSHITraffic through the Panama Canal? (9/14 - 9/20)
- Above 17595%
- Above 20062%
- Above 225-1.0pt8%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $35.8K
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt69%
- October 31+4.0pt44%
- September 3020%
+1 more outcomes
KALSHIWhat will Costco say during their next earnings call?
- Tariff+9.0pt93%
- Kirkland90%
- Spending80%
+15 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $19K
KALSHIWill Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
- Before 2027+1.1pt6%
- Before August0%
- Total Vol
- $2.4M
- 24h Vol
- $4K
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)
- What will Nike say during their next earnings call?
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/14 - 9/20)
- Will new tariffs become law?
- What will Aritzia say during their next earnings call?
- How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
- US charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
- Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by which date?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Traffic through the Suez Canal? (9/14 - 9/20)?
- Kalshi prices Above 260 at 86% as of September 15, 2026.
- When does Traffic through the Suez Canal? (9/14 - 9/20) resolve?
- Traffic through the Suez Canal? (9/14 - 9/20) is scheduled to resolve on September 22, 2026.
- How is Traffic through the Suez Canal? (9/14 - 9/20) settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.