KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Dividend (99%)
Resolved: Oct 1, 2026, 11:21 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 1, 2026, 10:33 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Dividend70%
Tariff1%
SKIMS / NikeSKIMS53%
Retailer1%
Supply Chain92%
Sabrina37%
Alphafly78%
Caitlin / Clark85%
Direct to Consumer / DTC30%
Beaverton1%
DividendWon
SKIMS / NikeSKIMSLost
SabrinaLost
SustainableLost
AlphaflyLost
Miami / Blue RibbonLost
Caitlin / ClarkLost
ConverseLost
Supply ChainLost
Investor DayLost
Direct to Consumer / DTCLost
TariffLost
BeavertonLost
RetailerLost
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Manifold MarketsRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If Sabrina is said by any Nike representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Nike earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:NIKE, Inc. Investor Events
- How this is resolved Video of the Nike earnings call.
- If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Nike earnings call will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract.
- Payout criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
- Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company.