KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 280 100%Leader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
43 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$15
Liquidity
$227
Low liquiditySpread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Sep 4, 26, 4:30 PM UTCSep 15, 26, 1:00 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)
KalshiPeak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)
KalshiTraffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)
KalshiWhen will PATH stop diverting weekend JSQ/33rd St traffic through Hoboken?
Manifold MarketsStrait of Hormuz Traffic Percentage On?
Manifold MarketsWhat will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
PolymarketRules
If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome from Sep 7, 2026 to Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:IMF PortWatch
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Sep 7, 2026 to Sep 13, 2026.
- The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Open markets
Macro & EconomyKALSHIConnecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026
- Above 3,500 units-1.0pt88%
- Above 4,000 units-4.0pt66%
- Above 4,500 units-29.0pt19%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $53.3K
- 24h Vol
- $24.4K
KALSHIPennsylvania gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.260099%
- Above 4.265099%
- Above 4.270098%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $12.3K
- 24h Vol
- $11.6K
KALSHIHousing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
- Above 1,700 units-4.0pt82%
- Above 1,600 units-11.0pt80%
- Above 1,800 units-5.0pt68%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETWhat will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
- $518K - $524K+1.8pt31.5%
- $524K - $530K+13.8pt25%
- $530K - $536K-21.3pt15.7%
POLYMARKETWhat will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30?
- $1.153M - $1.169M+14.6pt37%
- $1.137M - $1.153M-6.0pt31%
- <$1.137M-25.6pt14%
KALSHICzech National Bank rate decision in September
- Maintain current rate-3.0pt86.8%
- Hike 25bps+4.0pt7.5%
- Cut 50bps1.9%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $40.5K
- How high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount in 2027
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
- How low will the S&P get this year?
- Charlottetown, PEI Mayoral Election Winner
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
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- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
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- What will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Traffic through the Suez Canal? (9/7 - 9/13)?
- Kalshi prices Above 280 at 100% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Traffic through the Suez Canal? (9/7 - 9/13) resolve?
- Traffic through the Suez Canal? (9/7 - 9/13) is scheduled to resolve on September 15, 2026.
- How is Traffic through the Suez Canal? (9/7 - 9/13) settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome from Sep 7, 2026 to Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.