KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 175 95%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
69 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$6.5K
Liquidity
$26.5K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 11, 26, 4:00 PM UTCSep 22, 26, 1:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (9/7 - 9/13)
KalshiTraffic through the Suez Canal? (9/14 - 9/20)
KalshiTraffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)
KalshiUS takes Panama Canal before 2027?
PolymarketWill Trump take back the Panama Canal?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump deploy the US military to the Panama Canal?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the number of transit calls through the Panama Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:IMF PortWatch
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026.
- The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Open markets
Trade PolicyPOLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 3132%
- October 31-1.0pt22%
- September 30-1.0pt7%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.9M
- 24h Vol
- $34.7K
KALSHIWill Trump issue dividend payments in 2026?
- No96%
- Yes-5.6pt4%
- Total Vol
- $42.3K
- 24h Vol
- $11.2K
POLYMARKETUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt69%
- October 31+4.0pt44%
- September 3020%
+1 more outcomes
KALSHIWhat will Costco say during their next earnings call?
- Tariff+9.0pt93%
- Kirkland90%
- Spending80%
+15 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $19K
KALSHIWill Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
- Before 2027+1.1pt6%
- Before August0%
- Total Vol
- $2.4M
- 24h Vol
- $4K
KALSHITraffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)
- Above 150+14.0pt86%
- Above 175-1.0pt64%
- Above 200-9.0pt28%
+2 more outcomes
- What will Nike say during their next earnings call?
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/14 - 9/20)
- Will new tariffs become law?
- What will Aritzia say during their next earnings call?
- How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
- US charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
- Traffic through the Suez Canal? (9/14 - 9/20)
- Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by which date?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Traffic through the Panama Canal? (9/14 - 9/20)?
- Kalshi prices Above 175 at 95% as of September 15, 2026.
- When does Traffic through the Panama Canal? (9/14 - 9/20) resolve?
- Traffic through the Panama Canal? (9/14 - 9/20) is scheduled to resolve on September 22, 2026.
- How is Traffic through the Panama Canal? (9/14 - 9/20) settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the number of transit calls through the Panama Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.