PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 97%
No 97%Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$931.1
Liquidity
$38.8K
High liquidityOpen interest
$36.9K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Comments
1
7d Change
+0.3 pts
Market data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Nov 13, 25, 9:45 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Panama Canal effectively closed by which date?
PolymarketTraffic through the Panama Canal? (10/26 - 11/1)
KalshiWill Trump deploy the US military to the Panama Canal?
Manifold MarketsWill USA use military force to take control over either Greenland, Canada or the Panama Canal before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill the Panama Canal belong to the US prior to 2029
Manifold MarketsWill Trump take back the Panama Canal?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
- An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur.
- Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.