PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilityYes 11%+0.0%
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$6.3K
Liquidity
$27.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
10.0% / 12.0%
Spread
20.0%
Wide spread7d Change
+1.0%
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Nov 13, 25, 9:46 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Selected outcome
Yes11%
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
- An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur.
- Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.