KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityYes 30%
Market quality
72 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$68.9
Liquidity
$99.9K
High liquidityBid / Ask
30.0% / 31.0%
Spread
3.3%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Jan 3, 25, 3:00 PMJan 20, 29, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes30%
Compare venues· No
Ordered by 24h volume| Venue | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageMost active | 70% | — | $68.9 | $99.9K | 9 minutes ago | |
 Manifold Markets | 83% | — | — | — | 3 hours ago | Open → |
Also available on Manifold Markets
Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?
3y
17%
83%
Community forecast297 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$92.5K
24h Vol$51
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
If the United States government has taken control of at least some part of the Panama Canal before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$69Jul 27d of dataJul 8
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If the United States government has taken control of at least some part of the Panama Canal before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.