Manifold MarketsNo KYCCurrent community forecastYes 17%
Forecasters
297
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 56 minutes ago
LaggingJan 20, 25, 7:14 PMDec 20, 29, 10:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes17%
Compare venues· No
Ordered by 24h volume| Venue | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMost active | 70% | — | $68.9 | $99.9K | 1 minute ago | Open → |
| Manifold MarketsThis page | 83% | — | — | — | 56 minutes ago |
Also available on Kalshi
Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?
2y
30%
70%
72 • Medium qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$549K
24h Vol$68.9
KALSHIRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.