KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 5 79%-10.0ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$10.2K
Liquidity
$10K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Sep 18, 26, 5:00 PM UTCSep 29, 26, 1:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)
KalshiPeak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/21 - 9/27)
KalshiOn September 27th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
Manifold MarketsTraffic through the Suez Canal? (9/21 - 9/27)
KalshiTraffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/21 - 9/27)
KalshiStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
PolymarketRules
If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:IMF PortWatch
- The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026.
- The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)?
- Kalshi prices Above 5 at 79% as of September 23, 2026.
- When does Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) resolve?
- Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) is scheduled to resolve on September 29, 2026.
- How is Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.