What are the current odds for Will there be another Arab Spring by 2035??

Manifold Markets prices No at 52.8% as of September 30, 2026.

When does Will there be another Arab Spring by 2035? resolve?

Will there be another Arab Spring by 2035? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2035.

Will there be another Arab Spring by 2035?

One-OffPolitics Middle East8y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 52.8%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 9 hours ago

Stale

Dec 26, 22, 5:44 AM UTCJan 1, 35, 2:00 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Resolves YES if I see evidence of revolutions, protests, constitutional changes, etc. on the scale of the Arab Spring in at 3 least Middle East or North African countries within the span of 1 year.

Otherwise resolves NO.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will there be another Arab Spring by 2035??: Manifold Markets prices No at 52.8% as of September 30, 2026.
When does Will there be another Arab Spring by 2035? resolve?: Will there be another Arab Spring by 2035? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2035.
How is Will there be another Arab Spring by 2035? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if I see evidence of revolutions, protests, constitutional changes, etc. on the scale of the Arab Spring in at 3 least Middle East or North African countries within the span of 1 year.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

https://api.coinrithm.com/api/prediction-markets/events/manifold/will-there-be-another-arab-spring-b

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

https://mcp.coinrithm.com/mcp

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Will there be another Arab Spring by 2035?

Will there be another Arab Spring by 2035?

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