Will the FY2027 NDAA enter law by February 1st 2027, and direct U.S.-Israel military cooperation in AI?
PoliticsOne-OffAIElectionGeopoliticsMiddle East3mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 54.7%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleJun 6, 26, 9:46 PM UTCJan 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
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KalshiRules
This market resolves YES when the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2027 is enacted into law and the enacted text establishes, authorizes, or directs U.S.-Israel defense technology cooperation that explicitly covers artificial intelligence, machine learning, or autonomous systems.
- This market resolves NO on February 1st, 2027 if the resolution condition for YES is not met.
- Market Background:
- The NDAA is the annual U.S. defense policy bill.
- It sets defense policy, authorizes defense programs, and tells the Department of Defense what it is allowed or required to do.
- The NDAA is treated as a must-pass annual defense bill, lawmakers often attach foreign-policy, and military-cooperation provisions to it.