PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 1:52 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 95%
No 95%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$17.5K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$6K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Comments
1
7d Change
+0.3 pts
Market data
Updated 54 minutes ago
LaggingApr 28, 26, 8:21 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 7:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
- Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
- The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.