KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 150 · —
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Stored price
Above 190 48.5%Market line of 11 lines
Above 190 48.5%Market quality
71 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$26.5K
Open interest
$16K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 150Spread
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Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Oct 23, 26, 4:00 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 150
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25)
KalshiBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
PolymarketHow many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 26?
PolymarketHow many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 19?
PolymarketAvg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October?
PolymarketBab el-Mandeb Strait closed by which date?
FutuurRules
If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 190 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:IMF PortWatch
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 150
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 150 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 160
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 160 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 170
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 170 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 180
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 180 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 185
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 185 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 190
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 190 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 195
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 195 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 200
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 200 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 205
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 205 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 210
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 210 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 220
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 220 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.