Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 89.3%
Forecasters
22
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleNov 14, 23, 8:21 PM UTCJan 1, 35, 9:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
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Manifold MarketsIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by which date?
PolymarketIsrael military action against Lebanon on?
PolymarketRules
Inspired by this article:
- https://en.majalla.com/node/302971/business-economy/lebanons-already-struggling-economy-cannot-survive-war-israel
- Resolves NO if, by the end of the current conflict, Lebanon either ceases to exist as a country, undergoes a significant revolution, or otherwise becomes unrecognizable in policy/government to its predecessor.
- For example:
- If Lebanon breaks into multiple different countries, this question resolves depending on whether Lebanon still exists as one of these countries.
- If a coup occurs, but the country doesn't change much as a result, this question resolves YES.