Will Russia militarily seize Narva, Estonia before the end of 2027?
GeopoliticsOne-OffEuropeRussia / Ukraine1y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 95.6%
Forecasters
23
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleMay 5, 25, 5:53 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
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Narva is a city in Estonia close to the Russian border whose inhabitants are mostly ethnic Russians (87%) who almost all speak Russian (96%) and many of whom even have Russian citizenship (36%).
- [image]Some experts believe Russia might militarily seize Narva in a Crimea-style operation to stress test NATO.
- Will Russia militarily seize Narva before the end of 2027?
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