Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 92.8%
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97
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingFeb 26, 24, 7:09 AM UTCJan 1, 30, 7:59 AM UTC
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Narva is a city in Estonia close to the Russian border whose inhabitants are mostly ethnic Russians (87%) who almost all speak Russian (96%) and many of whom even have Russian citizenship (36%).
- [image]Some experts believe Russia might militarily seize Narva in a Crimea-style operation to stress test NATO.
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- See this question but for other years:
- @/cash/will-russia-militarily-seize-narva (this question)
- @/cash/will-russia-militarily-seize-narva-OIptE5cPpP