PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 86.1%+5.5pt
No 86.1%+5.5ptMarket quality
69 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4.7K
Liquidity
$11.9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
12.0% / 15.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Oct 6, 26, 4:06 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will China impose a travel ban on Americans to Shenzhen for any period lasting more than 2 months before 2030?
Manifold MarketsPlague pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketRussia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?
PolymarketAnother pneumonic plague case in Russia by which date?
PolymarketWill a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?
KalshiConfirmed Irkutsk plague cases in Oct 2026?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government issues a measure banning entry into the United States by Russian nationals or by travelers who have been physically present in Russia or any specified region within Russia, on plague-related grounds between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying measure is a proclamation, executive order, rule, or equivalent formal action that prohibits or suspends entry into US territory by Russian citizens or nationals, or by travelers who have been physically present in Russia or any specified region within Russia, whatever lookback period the measure uses.
- Russian nationality or physical presence in Russia or a specified region within Russia must be an express criterion determining who is subject to the entry prohibition.
- A measure that bars entry of Russian nationals as a class or travelers with such physical presence qualifies even if it carries exceptions or applies only to certain visa categories.
- The measure, or the official announcement issuing it, must cite plague, Yersinia pestis, or the suspected plague incident reported from Irkutsk Oblast, Russia in October 2026 as a basis for the entry prohibition.