Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 8:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 95.4%
Forecasters
39
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleMay 9, 26, 12:48 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? [Polymarket]
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KalshiWhich countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
PolymarketRules
Resolves according to https://polymarket.com/event/new-pandemic-in-2026.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
- [link preview]