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New pandemic in 2026? [Polymarket]

Health & Medicine Science5mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Data quality warningStale data

Data as of Jul 19, 2026, 2:10 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3

Current community forecast

No 92.2%

Forecasters

32

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 8 days ago

Stale

May 9, 26, 12:48 AMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

Yes8%

Stake (USDT)

Compare venues· No

Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume

Venue	Quality	Probability	vs reference	24h Vol	Liq	Freshness
PolymarketBest overall97% match · verified	High	91%	—	$30.8K	$17.5K	6 minutes ago	Open →
Kalshi72% match · linked	High	95%	—	$123.8	$243.4K	26 minutes ago	Open →
Manifold MarketsThis page	—	92%	—	—	—	8 days ago

Also available on Polymarket

100pt disagreement · Manifold Markets is higher

New pandemic in 2026?

New pandemic in 2026?

2.5 pts5mo

No

-0.0pt91%

Yes

Yes

+0.0pt9%

77 • High qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$946.2K

24h Vol$30.8K

POLYMARKET

Also available on Kalshi

100pt disagreement · Kalshi is higher

Pandemic in 2026?

Pandemic in 2026?

5mo

No

95%

Yes

Yes

5%

75 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$672.9K

24h Vol$123.8

KALSHI

Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.

Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

Large trades

$7.5k93.0%

POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026? — NoalwaysOn9d ago

$1.7k94.0%

POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026? — NoQMG-SCALAR17d ago

$2.8k93.0%

POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026? — NoalwaysOn21d ago

Volume trend

$185

Jul 182d of dataJul 19

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Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.