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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?
How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?

How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?

TechScienceYearly6mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
At least 25
At least 25 91%
Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality

40 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$40

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

89.0% / 92.0%

Spread

3.4%

Moderate spread
Market data

Updated 8 minutes ago

May 13, 26, 10:00 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

At least 2591%

Rules

If at least 25 persons have received Neuralink brain-computer interface implants before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Only unique human individuals count toward the total, regardless of how many devices each person receives.
  • If one person receives multiple implants or device replacements, they count as one person.
  • Cumulative totals include all persons who have ever received a Neuralink implant, including those who may have had devices removed, experienced device failure, or are deceased.
  • Only successful implantations count; attempted implantations that are aborted during surgery (and thus not actually implanted) do not count.
  • The implantations need not occur after Issuance to count toward 25.

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Rules

If at least 25 persons have received Neuralink brain-computer interface implants before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Only unique human individuals count toward the total, regardless of how many devices each person receives.
  • If one person receives multiple implants or device replacements, they count as one person.
  • Cumulative totals include all persons who have ever received a Neuralink implant, including those who may have had devices removed, experienced device failure, or are deceased.
  • Only successful implantations count; attempted implantations that are aborted during surgery (and thus not actually implanted) do not count.
  • The implantations need not occur after Issuance to count toward 25.