Current community forecast
No 84.2%
Forecasters
166
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Mar 4, 26, 3:00 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:50 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
(This settles EOY if necessary but we will surely know much sooner)
- Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if independent testing confirms the Donut Battery contains less than 0.1% lithium by weight.
- The market resolves NO if testing confirms lithium content at or above 0.1% by weight.
- Resolution will be determined by peer-reviewed analysis, official company disclosure with third-party verification, or independent laboratory testing from credible institutions (e.g., VTT Technical Research Centre, university materials science departments, or certified battery analysis labs).
- Links to testing results and composition data will serve as primary resolution sources.
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above99%
- $69,500 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $844.6K
- 24h Vol
- $817.6K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- 200-219+45.0pt95%
- 220-239-11.3pt5%
- 40-590%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $68,500 or above97%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+5.0pt27.4%
- 200-219+5.0pt22.6%
- 160-179-4.0pt20.6%
+23 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+4.0pt88.1%
- OpenAI-1.7pt9.9%
- Google-0.2pt2%
+18 more outcomes
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+7.5pt55.9%
- 65-89+13.0pt33.3%
- 90-114+1.9pt5.9%
+7 more outcomes
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
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- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
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- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Donut Battery is essentially Lithium free??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 84% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Donut Battery is essentially Lithium free? resolve?
- Donut Battery is essentially Lithium free? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Donut Battery is essentially Lithium free? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: (This settles EOY if necessary but we will surely know much sooner)