Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 98%
Forecasters
34
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleMay 12, 25, 3:43 PM UTCDec 31, 31, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will some Millennium Prize Prize Problem be solved in 2026?
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KalshiWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2031, at least one of the six unsolved Millennium Prize Problems is solved primarily by an artificial intelligence (AI) system.
- The AI must be credited as the principal solver, not merely as a tool assisting human mathematicians.
- The solution must be published in a reputable, peer-reviewed mathematical journal and receive general acceptance in the global mathematics community.
- Official recognition by the Clay Mathematics Institute is not required for resolution.
- If no such AI-driven solution is achieved by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No."