Will a correct solution to a Millennium Prize Problem be published by the end of 2030?
One-OffScience5yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 94.1%
Forecasters
44
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleSep 29, 23, 12:01 AM UTCJan 2, 32, 7:59 AM UTC
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
PolymarketRules
This will resolve YES as soon as the Clay Mathematics Institute makes a definitive indication that a solution is correct, provided that it was published by the end of the day GMT December 31, 2030.
- It will resolve NO at any point after the end of 2030 at which all claimed solutions published before EOD 12/31/2030 have been refuted.
