Will a correct solution to a Millennium Prize Problem be published by the end of 2030?
One-OffScience5yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 94.6%
Forecasters
44
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Sep 29, 23, 12:01 AM UTCJan 2, 32, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This will resolve YES as soon as the Clay Mathematics Institute makes a definitive indication that a solution is correct, provided that it was published by the end of the day GMT December 31, 2030.
- It will resolve NO at any point after the end of 2030 at which all claimed solutions published before EOD 12/31/2030 have been refuted.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will a correct solution to a Millennium Prize Problem be published by the end of 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 95% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will a correct solution to a Millennium Prize Problem be published by the end of 2030? resolve?
- Will a correct solution to a Millennium Prize Problem be published by the end of 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2032.
- How is Will a correct solution to a Millennium Prize Problem be published by the end of 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This will resolve YES as soon as the Clay Mathematics Institute makes a definitive indication that a solution is correct, provided that it was published by the end of the day GMT December 31, 2030.