PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
1430+ · —
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Stored reference
1430+ 80%Leader of 5 outcomes
1430+ 80%Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$13.2K
Liquidity
$4.4K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$6.3K
Bid / Ask
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1430+Spread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 25 minutes ago
Oct 21, 26, 5:12 PM UTCJul 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · 1430+
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsGPT Astra 6.1+ Released By End of November 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next OpenAI GPT Astra model (6.1+) added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify.
- GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify.
- Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify.
