In 2026
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored price
No 97.5%
No 97.5%Market quality
39 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
$6.7K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Market data
Updated 31 minutes ago
Aug 10, 26, 11:20 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · No
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO before IPO?
PolymarketDario Amodei arrested by December 31?
PolymarketWill *any 2* of Sam Altman/Dario Amodei/liang wenfeng/Yang Zhilin all feast at Hongmen Gate by EOY2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Dario Amodei write an essay on what powerful AI will look like, and/or when it will arrive, by October 2027?
Manifold MarketsBy the end of 2028, will AI models, as Dario Amodei speculates, be able to “replicate and survive in the wild”?
Manifold MarketsIs Dario Amodei correct that most human disease be cured in 5-10 years?
Manifold MarketsRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:Bloomberg
- The CEO must actually leave their position for the market to resolve as Yes, rather than merely announcing it.
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.