KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Before 2028 · —
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Stored price
Before 2028 82.5%Leader of 4 outcomes
Before 2028 82.5%Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$270.5
Open interest
$4.8K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Before 2028Spread
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Market data
Updated 56 minutes ago
LaggingSep 22, 26, 2:00 PM UTCMar 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before 2028
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1+?
KalshiOn what date will OpenAI release GPT-6.2 Astra?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI release a GPT model named after a >1 solar luminosity object (like Betelgeuse/Sirius/M81) by EOY2029?
Manifold MarketsWhen will OpenAI release GPT-7?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI release GPT-7 before January 1, 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhen will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?
KalshiRules
If OpenAI releases GPT-7 before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:OpenAI
- Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
Rules for each outcome
- Before 2028
- If OpenAI releases GPT-7 before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before September, 2027
- If OpenAI releases GPT-7 before Sep 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before June, 2027
- If OpenAI releases GPT-7 before Jun 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before March, 2027
- If OpenAI releases GPT-7 before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
