Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by which date?
4.5 pts (24h)US PoliticsOne-OffPoliticsLatin America3mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
December 31 12%-4.5ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.4K
Liquidity
$33.3K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
77
7d Change
-1.5 pts
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Jan 4, 26, 6:50 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cuba’s current leader, Miguel Díaz-Canel, is removed from power for any length of time by the listed date, ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, Díaz-Canel will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise ceases to hold (or is publicly reported to be unable to perform the duties of) the office of First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba, which is widely regarded as Cuba’s top political post, within this market’s timeframe.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced? · Before December 1, 2026 16%
