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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

5.5% (24h)One-OffPoliticsLatin America18d
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
December 31
December 31 59%+5.5%
Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality

91 / 100

High quality
24h Volume

$4.3K

Liquidity

$70K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

58.0% / 59.0%

Spread

1.7%

Tight spread
7d Change

+8.0%

Market data

Updated 5 minutes ago

Jan 4, 26, 6:52 PMJun 30, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
March 31
March 31
0%

Selected outcome

December 3159%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cuba’s current leader, Miguel Díaz-Canel, is removed from power for any length of time by the listed date, ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, Díaz-Canel will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise ceases to hold (or is publicly reported to be unable to perform the duties of) the office of First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba, which is widely regarded as Cuba’s top political post, within this market’s timeframe.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cuba’s current leader, Miguel Díaz-Canel, is removed from power for any length of time by the listed date, ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, Díaz-Canel will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise ceases to hold (or is publicly reported to be unable to perform the duties of) the office of First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba, which is widely regarded as Cuba’s top political post, within this market’s timeframe.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.