US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by which date?
One-OffPoliticsLatin AmericaCrime & JusticeUS Politics3mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Sep 9, 2026, 3:30 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
December 31 42%
Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$119.8
Low liquidityBid / Ask
18.0% / 66.0%
Spread
48.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
2
7d Change
+5.0 pts
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Mar 9, 26, 9:24 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
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PredictItRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Cuban President Miguel Diaz-Canel between market creation and the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
