US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by...?
4.0% (24h)One-OffPoliticsLatin AmericaCrime & JusticeUS Politics5mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Jul 25, 2026, 12:10 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current implied probabilityDecember 31 32%-4.0%
Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$80.7
Low liquidityBid / Ask
13.0% / 50.0%
Spread
284.6%
Wide spread7d Change
-33.0%
Market data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Mar 9, 26, 9:24 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
December 3132%
Volume trend
$37Jul 215d of dataJul 23
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Cuban President Miguel Diaz-Canel between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.