Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
0.5 pts (24h)Trade PolicyOne-OffTechGeopoliticsChina2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 5:24 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 87.1%
No 87.1%Market quality
45 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$154.2
Liquidity
$1.1K
Low liquidityOpen interest
$7.3K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Comments
2
7d Change
-11.0 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJun 30, 26, 5:22 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
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Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
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- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT).
- You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
- This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
