Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
1.0 pts (24h)Trade PolicyOne-OffTechGeopoliticsChina3mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 78%+1.0pt
Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$140.8
Liquidity
$3.3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
21.0% / 23.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
2
7d Change
-16.0 pts
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Jun 30, 26, 5:22 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT).
- You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
- This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
