Current implied probability
No 64%
No 64%Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$1.8K
Low liquidityTraders
6
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This event predicts whether Nvidia Corporation will sell its Blackwell-generation chips in China at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- For this market, “sold in China” means commercially sold or delivered to customers located in China.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official disclosures by Nvidia, including earnings reports, regulatory filings, or official statements confirming sales or deliveries in China.
- If Nvidia confirms sales or deliveries of Blackwell chips to customers in China within this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Announcements of intent without actual sales or deliveries will not count.
