KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 5, 2026, 11:43 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored price
No 92%
No 92%Market quality
42 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.1
Open interest
$1.8K
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingMay 4, 26, 7:30 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Canada become an EU Associate Member by year-end 2027?
PredictItCanada becomes EU Associate Member by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Canada gain EU associate status?
KalshiWill Ukraine become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine become an official member of NATO while it does not control all of the territory within its 1991 borders?
Manifold MarketsWIll Ukraine become a Civ7/6/5 civ by EOY2030?
Manifold MarketsRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:the European Union
- Pre-Accession Institutional Participation Status means any formal EU-approved pre-accession status or arrangement, however described, that allows Ukraine to sit in, attend, observe, or be represented at meetings of EU ministers, EU leaders, or EU institutions without voting rights before Ukraine becomes a full EU Member State. Candidate-country status, accession negotiations, EU-law screening, funding access, or Ukraine’s existing EU Association Agreement shall not qualify unless Ukraine receives new non-voting participation or representation rights in EU ministerial, leaders’, or institutional meetings. An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following: Formal signing of treaties Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify. The following do NOT qualify: Preliminary discussions Conditional agreements contingent on circumstances Opposition party statements Leaked documents Think-tank recommendations General aspirations without specific commitment Draft legislation without approval Regional actions (unless specified) Retraction of previously announced commitments
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.