Will Ukraine become more authoritarian in 2026?
GeopoliticsOne-OffMiddle EastRussia / UkraineChinaLatin America4mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 57.2%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleApr 11, 26, 4:51 PM UTCApr 1, 27, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Iran become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the United States become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill India become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine become an EU associate member in 2026?
KalshiWill a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2030?
Manifold MarketsRules
This question will use The Economist's Democracy Index, resolving YES if Ukraine's democracy score is lower in the next report (to be published in early 2027) compared to the last report.
- If the report is paywalled, I may resolve to a secondary source such as Wikipedia.
- If Ukraine's democracy score for 2026 is the same or higher, this question resolves NO.
- @/cash/will-the-world-become-more-authorit-2R20yhg9dh
- 🇺🇸 @/cash/will-the-us-become-more-authoritari
- 🇺🇸 @/cash/will-the-united-states-become-more-QNC56OL95y
