Will Russia become more authoritarian in 2026?
One-OffMiddle EastChinaLatin AmericaGeopoliticsRussia / Ukraine5mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 51.8%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleApr 11, 26, 4:54 PM UTCMar 31, 27, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
This question will use The Economist's Democracy Index, resolving YES if Russia's democracy score is lower in the next report (to be published in early 2027) compared to the last report.
- If the report is paywalled, I may resolve to a secondary source such as Wikipedia.
- If Russia's democracy score for 2026 is the same or higher, this question resolves NO.
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