Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastMore Authoritarian 70.1%Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
16
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleApr 11, 26, 4:56 PM UTCMar 31, 27, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This question will use The Economist's Democracy Index, resolving based on whether the United States score in 2026 goes up (the named outcome), down (the named outcome), or stays flat (the named outcome) relative to its score in the previous year.
- If the official report is paywalled, I may resolve to a secondary source such as Wikipedia.
- @/cash/will-the-world-become-more-authorit-2R20yhg9dh
- 🇺🇸 @/cash/will-the-us-become-more-authoritari (this question)
- 🇺🇸 @/cash/will-the-united-states-become-more-QNC56OL95y
- 🇨🇳 @/cash/will-china-become-more-authoritaria-tQRh2Cq2Rq