Will the United States become more authoritarian in 2026?
Middle EastOne-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsRussia / UkraineChinaLatin America5moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 81.8%
Forecasters
24
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 34 minutes ago
Apr 11, 26, 4:54 PM UTCMar 31, 27, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Israel become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill India become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US become more authoritarian or more democratic in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Venezuela continue submissive to american demands in 2026?
Manifold MarketsAny G20 leader out in 2026?
PolymarketRules
This question will use The Economist's Democracy Index, resolving YES if the United States' democracy score is lower in the next report (to be published in early 2027) compared to the last report.
- If the report is paywalled, I may resolve to a secondary source such as Wikipedia.
- If the United States' democracy score for 2026 is the same or higher, this question resolves NO.
- @/cash/will-the-world-become-more-authorit-2R20yhg9dh
- 🇺🇸 @/cash/will-the-us-become-more-authoritari
- 🇺🇸 @/cash/will-the-united-states-become-more-QNC56OL95y (this question)
